While it seems clear that the shows producers mean for
Galen Tyrol,
Saul Tigh,
Tory Foster,
Sam Anders,
There is also several clear hints that Baltar, Roslin, or Kara Thrace may be the fifth cylon, however this has not been implicitly stated. However the comfirmed four have at least 2 members that doesn't add up.
Sam Anders
Sam Anders was a major sports star during the pre-fall period of colonial history, and if the news media bears any resemblance to our own (which they have done repeatedly), they would have nitpicked over the past of any sports star in a way that would make a military background check look like a walk in the park, so if there was a suspicious lack of childhood friends who remebered, extended family, old girlfriends, or anything that looked out of place it would have been brought up. Of course its possible that the cylons developed the humanoid cylons early on, however this would mean that Anders was actually staying perpetually young back into his past, which would raise questions because at least earth based athletes have a relatively short career when they are at their prime, which Anders apparently was.
Saul Tigh
It has been established that there was no capability in the original cylon arsenal (copied from the Colonial technologies) to produce human cylons, and Saul Tigh was known by Adama for 50 years back to that period so could not have been born a cylon (aging has occured during the flashbacks). Therefore evidence is against Tigh being a humanoid cylon.
Ways round this
It is possible that these 2 humanoid cylons were replacing existing humans, although this suggest biomimacry which has never been shown beyond creating a humanoid form rather than a specific already existing human form. If the general cylon fleet possessed this ability, then why would they limit themselves to inflitrating with a very limited highly recognisable set of troops.
Another possibility is that somehow they are human physiologically (Tory Foster seemed not to possess Boomer's lack of sleep tolerance), and the cylon presence has either complemented(symbyotic personality) or replaced the human conciousness that originally existed there. Again this does question how this technology was developed separate from the cylon fleet.
It is indeed possible to think out solutions to the problems as i have demostrated, however it does go against everything we know about the cylon humanoid forms to date (which can be good, believable plot twists which don't involve sane presidents firing unprovoked nuclear missiles are always enjoyable)
All i can say is, i was suprised, i thought Tyrol and Kara might have something to do with the Lords of Kobol, Iblis's existance (could be very good or very very bad), i did not see the Tyrol is a cylon thought line this season until the revealation which i thought was done very well since they handled the music issue very well.
Roll on season 4 !
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